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Turnout by Education, Race and Gender and Other 2008 Youth Voting Statistics

November 2008

Jonathan M. Tisch College of Citizenship and Public Service, Medford, MA – Now that the dust has settled from a record turnout of young voters, new research reveals young Americans voted for Obama across party and racial lines, but youth with no college experience were underrepresented at the polls, according to Tisch College’s Center for Information and Research on Civic Learning and Engagement (CIRCLE) at Tufts University.

All the data are included in a new CIRCLE Fact Sheet.

Summary

An estimated 23 million young Americans under the age of 30 voted in the 2008 presidential election, 3.4 million more voters as compared to the 2004. CIRCLE estimated youth voter turnout rose to between 52 percent and 53 percent, an increase of four to five percentage points. Compared to 2000, the increase in youth turnout is at least 11 percentage points.

The 18-29 age voting bloc is more diverse than older voters—youth voters classified themselves as Hispanic/Latino, black, and gay, lesbian, or bisexual in much larger proportions than the electorate as a whole.

Unfortunately, young voter turnout remains skewed towards those with more formal education.  For instance, while just 57 percent of U.S. citizens under 30 have ever attended college, 70 percent of all young voters had gone to college. The same disproportion can be seen when looking at those without a high school diploma. While youth with no high school diploma make up 14 percent of the general youth population, only six percent of young voters in 2008 had no high school diploma.

One of the most striking characteristics of this election was young people’s united support for Barack Obama, regardless of their political affiliations. Thirty-three percent of young white voters self-identified as “Democrat,” and yet, 54 percent voted for the Democratic candidate.  Similar trends were seen with African Americans and Latinos, where a large number of youth self-identified as Republicans yet voted for Barack Obama, signifying youth support for Obama seemed to cross racial and partisan lines.

Young women voters also came out to the polls in larger numbers—55 percent of young voters were women, which was consistent with the overall trend (53 percent of all votes were cast by women). This trend, however, was especially strong for young Black voters, 61 percent of whom were women.

The economy was a top issue for young people, as it was for adults. Youth were more likely to oppose U.S. offshore oil drilling (39 percent versus 28 percent of all voters). More young people said a candidate’s race was a factor than the general voting population (24 percent versus 19 percent).  Almost half of young voters said they would be “excited” if Obama won, as compared to 30 percent of the overall electorate, and just 20 percent of voters over the age of 60.

Youth Turnout Rate Rises to at Least 52%

Youth Turnout Rate Rises to at Least 52% with 23 Million Voters Under 30

3.4 Million More Young People Vote than in 2004
Young Voters Account for at Least 60% of Overall Increase

18% of All Voters Were Young

Jonathan M. Tisch College of Citizenship and Public Service, Medford, MA – An estimated 23 million young Americans under the age of 30 voted in Tuesday’s presidential election, an increase of 3.4 million compared with 2004, CIRCLE reports, using overall vote count projections by Curtis Gans, director of American University’s Center for the Study of the American Electorate, latest exit polls, and Census Current Population Survey. This is an update of data released on November 5th by Tufts University’s Center for Information and Research on Civic Learning and Engagement (CIRCLE), which is the nation’s premier research organization on the civic and political engagement of young Americans.

CIRCLE estimates that youth voter turnout rose to between 52 percent and 53 percent, an increase of 4 to 5 percentage points over CIRCLE’s estimate based on the 2004 exit polls. The 2004 election was a strong one for youth turnout, reversing a long history of decline. If we compare 2008 with 2000, the increase in youth turnout is at least 11 percentage points. This year’s youth turnout rivals or exceeds the youth turnout rate of 52% in 1992, which is the highest turnout rate since 1972 (55.4%).

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Preliminary CIRCLE Projection: Youth Voter Turnout Up

About 22-24 Million Young Americans Go to the Polls:
Up by at Least 2.2 Million from 2004

Young voters favor Obama over McCain 66% to 32%; 18% of all voters were young

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Abby Kiesa at “After the Votes are Counted”

http://ase.tufts.edu/macc/events.htm#teachingdemoc

Teaching for Democracy After the Votes are Counted
November 17, 2008 | 10 am - 3 pm
Rehm Library, Center for Religion, Ethics and Culture
College of the Holy Cross, Worcester, MA

Nov. 3 CIRCLE media alert

For Immediate Release
November 3, 2008

Contact: David Roscow, 703-276-2772 x21 or Sarah Shugars, 617-627-2029

Media Alert/2008 Youth Voter Data
Exit Polls to Show Only Youth Share of Voters
CIRCLE to estimate Youth Turnout Early Wednesday, Nov. 5

Conference Call-in Press Briefing to Discuss 2008 Youth Vote, 2 PM ET, Nov. 5
To RSVP please call David Roscow at 703-276-2772 x21 or email dave@tricomassociates.com

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Peter Levine at Clark University

CIRCLE Director Peter Levine will speak on a Mosakowski Institute for Public Enterprise panel on the topic, “Policy Research in Hot Waters: When Politics, Ideology, and Evidence Collide.”

Peter Levine in Des Moines

CIRCLE Director Peter Levine will speak on “Service Learning and Civic Engagement: Connecting a New Generation.” This will be a keynote at an event sponsored by the Iowa Department of Education and others.

Peter Levine in Austin, TX

Peter Levine will speak in the Texas State Capitol at a New Politics Forum “Campaign 2008 Presidential Election Debriefing” sponsored by the Annette Strauss Institute and UT Austin.

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